Christmas weather outlook for Welland and Niagara region
By Rob Paola
Those planning on trying out those new skates or skis Christmas morning are going to be disappointed as the unseasonably warm weather of December 2015 continues right through the Christmas holidays.
December 2015 is on pace to be Southern Ontario’s warmest December on record, including in Welland where a monthly average near +5C would easily surpass the current warmest December of 2006 at +2.9C. Welland weather records go back to 1872, so the warmth this December can be described as historic, with nothing like it in over 140 years of record keeping. Incredibly , Welland has yet to see any snow this December as well. If that holds through Dec 31st, it will mark the first time on record that no snow has fallen in December in Welland. There are indications Welland could see some snow from a system early next week, but it will likely change to rain as warmer air moves in.
In the meantime, the good news is that travel plans over the holidays this year will not be marred by any snowstorms or icy road conditions. Record mild temperatures in the mid teens today and early Thursday will drop slightly for Christmas Day, but still well above normal for this time of year (Average hi now +1C, average low -6C) A storm system threatens rain for Boxing Day afternoon and night.
Weather details for the next few days…
Wed Dec 23rd.. Mainly and unseasonably mild. Record high near 16C (Record high for Dec 23rd in Welland is 13.3C in 1957)
Tonight.. Exceptionally mild with temperatures near 14C all night. Turning windy with a few showers likely overnight, and possible even the chance of a rare December thunderstorm!
Thu Dec 24th: Early showers giving way to partly sunny skies. Windy and turning cooler. Record high temperature of 16C in the morning dropping to 10C by late afternoon. (Record high for Dec 24th is 14.4C in 1964)
Christmas Eve… A few clouds. Low +2C.
Fri Dec 25th: Mild with a mix of sun and cloud. High: +7C
Sat Dec 26th: Rain likely by afternoon into the night. High +9C.
Whatever the weather.. have a safe and happy holiday!
( Editor’s note: “Welland boy” Rob Paola is a meteorologist with Environment Canada currently working at the Prairie and Arctic Storm Prediction Center in Winnipeg, Manitoba as a supervisor and severe weather meteorologist.)