By Rob Paola
The very dry summer of 2016 in Welland has continued in August with only 12.7 mm of rain recorded so far this month (normal August rainfall is 85 mm)
Saturday Aug 13 saw areas of heavy rain across much of southern Ontario, but unfortunately for Welland, most of the storms missed the city (yet again) Since May 1st, Welland has had only 109 mm total rainfall through August 13th, the second driest such period since 1872. (driest was 97 mm in 1934) Normal rainfall since May 1st is about 300 mm, so Welland is currently running about 1/3 of normal precipitation through August 13th.
The upcoming forecast however looks promising for Niagara to get some much needed rainfall early this week. Indications are that Niagara could be looking at a significant rain event this evening (Monday) into early Wednesday as the remnants of the system that battered Louisiana with heavy rain moves up towards the Ohio Valley.
This system could bring the most significant rainfall Welland has seen so far this year, with a possible 25-50 mm across Niagara and much of Lake Erie regions Monday night through Tuesday. The rain will be most welcome, although hopefully it doesn’t come down too hard which would increase a flooding threat.
In any case, a promising sign that some much needed rain is on the way for Welland!
(“Welland boy” Rob Paola is a meteorologist with Environment Canada based in Winnipeg. He has a lifelong interest in Welland, especially when it comes to its weather. His forecasts, and writings, appear here from time to time.)